Scenario probabilistic load flow calculation and reactive power optimization considering wind farms correlation
DOI:10.7667/PSPC160100
Key Words:probabilistic load flow  reactive power optimization  optimal number of k-means clusters  Copula function  modified backtracking search algorithm
Author NameAffiliation
QIU Yibin School of Electrical Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China 
OUYANG Yubo Zhangjiajie Power Supply Branch, State Grid Hunan Electric Power Company, Zhangjiajie 427000, China 
LI Qi School of Electrical Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China 
CHEN Weirong School of Electrical Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China 
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Abstract:When combining K-means clustering with Copula theory to build scenario-based probabilistic model, K-means clustering can’t spontaneously determine the optimal number of clustering. For this deficiency, this paper proposes a density-based index to determine the optimal number of clustering. Then the optimal scenario-based probabilistic model is built, based on which reactive power optimization is conducted by adopting modified backtracking search algorithm (BSA). At last, the proposed method is verified in IEEE30 system with data measured from two adjacent wind farms in Australia, and simulation results indicate that adopting optimal number of clustering determined by proposed method could get an accurate description of correlation between wind farms. This work is supported by National Key Technology Support Program (No. 2014BAG08B01), National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51177138, No. 61473238, and No. 51407146), and National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars (No. 2015JQ0016).
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