基于全寿命周期理论和云物元理论的配电网规划综合效益的评估

梁唐杰; 谢庆; 柳春芳; 赵蓓蓓; 陈安明; 田思雷; 洪千里

引用本文:	梁唐杰,谢庆,柳春芳,等.基于全寿命周期理论和云物元理论的配电网规划综合效益的评估[J].电力系统保护与控制,2017,45(19):12-17.
	LIANG Tangjie,XIE Qing,LIU Chunfang,et al.Comprehensive benefit evaluation of distribution network planning based on the life cycle cost theory and the cloud matter element theory[J].Power System Protection and Control,2017,45(19):12-17

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基于全寿命周期理论和云物元理论的配电网规划综合效益的评估
梁唐杰¹,谢庆²,柳春芳¹,赵蓓蓓²,陈安明¹,田思雷¹,洪千里²
(1.佛山电力设计院有限公司，广东佛山528000; 2.新能源电力系统国家重点实验室(华北电力大学)，河北保定 071003)

摘要:

结合配电网自身的特点，引入全寿命周期理论，从经济效益、社会效益和环境效益等三个方面构建了配电网规划综合效益评估体系。针对配电网效益评估过程中存在的不确定性，建立了基于云物元理论的配电网规划综合效益评估模型，结合云模型的不确定性推理和物元理论定性、定量分析的优点，充分考虑了配电网效益等级边界信息的模糊性和随机性。最后通过算例分析验证该效益评估模型的科学性和有效性。

关键词: 配电网规划综合效益评估全寿命周期理论云模型物元理论

DOI：10.7667/PSPC161624

分类号:

基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(51307060,51607068);北京自然科学基金(3164051)

Comprehensive benefit evaluation of distribution network planning based on the life cycle cost theory and the cloud matter element theory

LIANG Tangjie¹,XIE Qing²,LIU Chunfang¹,ZHAO Beibei²,CHEN Anming¹,TIAN Silei¹,HONG Qianli²

(1. Foshan City, Guangdong Province Electric Power Design Institute Co., Ltd., Foshan 528000, China;2. State Key Laboratory of New Energy Power System, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China)

Abstract:

Combined with the characteristics of distribution network, this paper introduces the life cycle cost theory, from three aspects of economic benefits, social benefits and environmental benefits to construct the evaluation system of comprehensive benefits of distribution network planning. In view of the benefit evaluation of distribution network in the presence of uncertainty, it establishes a comprehensive benefit evaluation model of distribution network planning based on the cloud matter-element theory, which combines with advantages of cloud model reasoning under uncertainty and qualitative and quantitative analysis of matter element theory, and takes full account of the fuzziness and randomness of distribution network benefit level boundary information. Finally, a numerical example is analyzed to verify the scientificity and validity of the model. This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51307060 and No. 51607068) and Natural Science Foundation of Beijing (No. 3164051).

Key words: distribution network planning comprehensive benefit evaluation life cycle cost theory cloud model matter element theory

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